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Monday, January 30th, 2012

As the first month of the year trots onward, so do home buyers. They posted increased activity levels compared to the same week in 2011. Seller activity slowed compared to last year, however. Inventory declines effectively positioned many local markets into a more balanced state – particularly toward the end of last year. Increased seller activity in the coming months could slow or even reverse that trend. Don’t fret. Not only is an increase in new listings perfectly normal for this time of year, but improved absorption rates and seller concessions could begin to stew into seller confidence.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending January 21:

  • New Listings decreased 8.2% to 1,092
  • Pending Sales increased 29.0% to 730
  • Inventory decreased 23.2% to 17,822

For the month of December:

  • Median Sales Price decreased 6.5% to $145,000
  • Days on Market decreased 2.1% to 141
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 1.7% to 90.6%
  • Months Supply of Inventory decreased 33.7% to 4.7

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report.

From The Skinny.

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Monday, January 23rd, 2012

Last week, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications increased more than 23.0 percent from the week prior. The fine print stated that most of the increase was driven by refinancing activity, given record low rates. Residential construction data also provided glimmers of hope. By now, many have surely noticed that the supply-demand balance is changing. What some may not realize is that this is a leading indicator, while home prices are a lagging indicator. Price appreciation is the final phase of recovery. Excess supply is down–in some areas, it’s way down. Purchase demand in most areas strengthened throughout the second half of 2011. For sellers, it’s less scary out there. For buyers, it’s still a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending January 14:

  • New Listings decreased 5.2% to 1,216
  • Pending Sales increased 28.4% to 728
  • Inventory decreased 23.8% to 17,690

For the month of December:

  • Median Sales Price decreased 6.5% to $145,000
  • Days on Market decreased 2.5% to 140
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 1.7% to 90.6%
  • Months Supply of Inventory decreased 35.6% to 4.6

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report.

From The Skinny.

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Monday, January 23rd, 2012

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Wednesday, January 18th, 2012

Decreased supply, high demand and low prices are among the encouraging developments in 2011 that give cause for optimism in 2012. Consumer purchase demand increased absent any outside incentives. As the active supply of homes for sale decreased dramatically, absorption rates improved to levels not seen since 2005. Unprecedented low interest rates and record housing affordability resulted in an 8.2 percent increase in home sales for the area.

2011 by the Numbers

  • Consumers purchased 41,429 homes, up 8.2 percent from 2010 and—excluding 2009—the highest since 2006.
  • Sellers listed 68,875 new homes on the market, down 15.8 percent from 2010 and the lowest level since 2002. Inventory levels dropped 28.7 percent from 2010 and are at the lowest level in 8 years.
  • Months supply of inventory—the time it would take to sell off all active properties—dropped 36.5 percent to 4.5 months.
  • The median sales price fell 11.7 percent to $150,000.
  • Precisely 50.0 percent of all closed sales were either foreclosures or short sales, up from 47.9 percent in 2010 and 48.9 percent in 2009.

“We are pleased with the recovery we saw in 2011,” said Richard Tucker, President of the St. Paul Area Association of REALTORS®. “Median sales price reflects the mix of properties sold during the year—and in 2011 a lot moved in that lower bracket. Price increases will be the final piece of the recovery.”

Distressed properties were the driving factor of home prices, selling for roughly 60 cents on the dollar compared to traditional homes.

“Homeowners need to remember that median sales price does a better job of reflecting what’s going off the market as a whole than representing the home values in a given area—each area is unique,” said Cari Linn, President of the Minneapolis Area Association of REALTORS®.

Improvements in the local economy will boost the Twin Cities real estate market in 2012. The outlook is positive: steady hiring, lessening layoffs and record low unemployment are all reasons the area continues to outperform the nation.

For other year-end residential real estate statistics and for stand-alone December 2011 data, please visit www.mplsrealtor.com and www.spaar.com.

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Wednesday, January 18th, 2012

The first full week of 2012 shows that buyers were off to a busy start while seller activity cooled down. Sales volumes easily beat the same week in 2011. The inventory drops that many communities saw during the second half of last year should translate into further positive news for sellers. Interest rates are expected to hold the low ground, enriching the buying environment for consumers. It’s early now. The spring market will ultimately be the major tell as to the rate of recovery throughout the year. Today’s lesson: Maintain a long-term perspective and watch trends develop beyond one week of data.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending January 7:

  • New Listings decreased 14.6% to 1,266
  • Pending Sales increased 13.8% to 561
  • Inventory decreased 24.5% to 17,302

For the month of December:

  • Median Sales Price decreased 6.5% to $145,000
  • Days on Market decreased 2.5% to 140
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 1.7% to 90.6%
  • Months Supply of Inventory decreased 35.6% to 4.6

The attached Weekly Market Activity Report is produced by the Minneapolis Area Association of REALTORS® (MAAR) for REALTOR® members and interested parties on a weekly basis. Use it to further your understanding of the Twin Cities 13-county residential real estate marketplace.

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report.

From The Skinny.

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Monday, January 9th, 2012

Most observers would agree that this year’s housing recovery was not as robust as many had hoped. That said, a handful of things went right. Supply-side market correction took the guise of inventory declines and a pullback in listing activity. Consequently, sellers generally faced fewer challenges than in the past. Driven by improvements in the economy and record-low mortgage rates, purchase demand strengthened organically, independent of government incentives. Those sales gains dovetailed with falling inventories to move the market back toward balance. Nobody knows what 2012 will bring, but it’s a safe bet that these positive developments will continue to evolve.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending December 31:

  • New Listings decreased 11.6% to 593
  • Pending Sales increased 41.7% to 564
  • Inventory decreased 24.9% to 18,341

For the month of December:

  • Median Sales Price decreased 5.6% to $145,000
  • Days on Market decreased 2.4% to 140
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 1.8% to 90.6%
  • Months Supply of Inventory decreased 36.2% to 4.6

The attached Weekly Market Activity Report is produced by the Minneapolis Area Association of REALTORS® (MAAR) for REALTOR® members and interested parties on a weekly basis. Use it to further your understanding of the Twin Cities 13-county residential real estate marketplace.

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report.

From The Skinny.

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Thursday, January 5th, 2012

If you follow our weekly notes with even a sidelong glance, you know that the story of the market in 2011 has been increased sales and decreased inventory. That’s all well and good, but consumers and the media want to talk about one thing: Price. Ideally, sellers seek multiple offers. This signals strong demand and competitive bidding. Buyers want to know that purchasing a home is a financially sound investment. Consumers, whether buyer or seller, want to know when we’ll be establishing a stable real estate foundation again. Which is exactly why the tale of increased sales activity and healthy inventory absorption matters.

In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending December 24:

  • New Listings decreased 9.6% to 596
  • Pending Sales increased 48.4% to 607
  • Inventory decreased 24.4% to 18,666

For the month of November:

  • Median Sales Price decreased 10.2% to $149,000
  • Days on Market decreased 1.8% to 135
  • Percent of Original List Price Received increased 1.0% to 90.9%
  • Months Supply of Inventory decreased 29.8% to 5.7
  • Inventory decreased 24.4% to 18,666

The attached Weekly Market Activity Report is produced by the Minneapolis Area Association of REALTORS® (MAAR) for REALTOR® members and interested parties on a weekly basis. Use it to further your understanding of the Twin Cities 13-county residential real estate marketplace.

Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report.

From The Skinny.

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Monday, January 2nd, 2012

 

From a fresh coat of white paint to choosing comfortable, neutral furniture, decorating experts share their advice on how happiness starts at home.

Mix It Up

“The most interesting rooms mix cultures and periods,” says real estate broker Royce Pinkwater. “I like to juxtapose high and low. It makes it more casual and homey.” Collaborating with the designer Eric Cohler, she decorated the living room of her New York apartment with a 1930s coffee table by Jean Dunand, ’40s armchairs by Andre Arbus, ’50s Swedish slipper chairs, and a ’70s mirror by Neal Small.

Choose Colors That Flatter You

“I think I speak for all women — and probably men — when I say I want a room to show me off at my best,” says Pinkwater. She decided on lavender to complement her green eyes. Michael Taylor chair. Karl Springer dressing table.

Decorate With What You Love

When painter and stylist Craig Schumacher moved from a 10-room Dallas house into a four-room apartment, it didn’t hamper his style. His decorating look became layer upon layer: “I bought things I knew I’d never tire of, and I’ve found out that if you love something, you’ll find a place for it.” His living room is furnished with antiques and vintage pieces, including a faux fireplace added for its architectural interest.

Remember the Power of White Paint

“White reflects light, so it sends off a wonderful energy, a prism of color that you aren’t necessarily aware of,” says designer Susan Noble Jones. In this 1820s New Orleans cottage, the designer used the hue to transform the formerly dark dining room into a space that’s light and cheery. Walls are Frostine by Benjamin Moore. Ligne Roset Tania chairs ring a table made of reclaimed cherry wood.

Choose Furniture With Curves

Round shapes, such as the living room’s drum shade and coffee table, make a space feel inviting. “They soften a room and make a house more lovable and livable,” Jones says. Dessin Fournir skirted chairs. Fambuena Dress pendant. Minton-Spidell coffee table.

Keep Seating Neutral

Stay away from large pieces upholstered in a bold color or busy pattern — it will make a room feel heavier. “When the sofa is white, it feels lighter, more conducive to conversation,” says designer Pat Healing, who decorated this home for a young family in upstate New York. Bird’s Nest Cocktail Table by HB Home; Campion chandelier, Urban Electric.

Make a Colorful Statement in the Entry

First impressions count. “I think you need to make a strong statement in entry halls — to give an indicator of what you’ll see in the rest of the house,” Healing says. “I use color because to do that creates happiness.” Custom bench in S. Harris’s Calypso. China Seas’ San Marco wallpaper.

Include Some Whimsy

“Little surprises keep a house from becoming too serious,” says contributing editor Frances Schultz. “It’s fun to put items in unexpected places.” In her Long Island cottage, she perked up the foot of the stairs with an inherited collection of Staffordshire figures.

Go Bold in a Small Space

“The smaller the room, the more drama you need,” designer David Netto says. In this East Hampton beach cottage, a graphic botanical pattern perks up the guest room. “The Svenskt Tenn Hawaii fabric by Josef Frank is so bold, it creates a little world within the bed alcove.” Frette bedding

Create Beauty by Contrast

The juxtaposition of humble and fine materials creates intrigue and keeps a room feeling interesting and attractive. “The most vivid example of combining humble materials with precious ones is in the kitchen,” Netto says. He tucked Nero Marquina marble under a white Corian island, “concealing it for maximum impact and surprise.” Barstools are by George Nakashima. Pendant lights from Circa Lighting.

 

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Monday, January 2nd, 2012


By Bill Briggs of SwitchYard Media

Hey, it’s your castle. You have the right to pack your palace with all the domestic toys you can afford.

Of course, if and when you decide to sell, these novelties may fail to return your original investment or make your place harder to unload.

For now, bask in your baubles. But here are 10 home projects that may someday induce a cringe from your real-estate agent and potential buyers.

Backyard turned sports court

Cost: Hoops fanatics could dish out as much as $68,000 to convert their yard into a 105-foot-long, 52-foot-wide concrete basketball court with two hoops and painted lines, says Patriot Court Systems in Houston. This renovation includes a 5-inch-thick, post-tensioned slab. The project’s cost may be higher or lower depending on the slope of your yard, excavation, zoning fees and your access to concrete-churning and earth-moving equipment.

Recoup rate: Less than 10%, “if anything,” says Karyn Anjali Glubis, a real-estate agent in the Tampa, Fla., area.

How much longer your home will stay on the market: “Up to a year longer” to find a buyer who would enjoy the court, Glubis says.

Motorized stairway chair lift

Cost: Jeff Buckley, co-owner of H.E.S. Elevator Services in Englewood, Colo., says a homeowner would pay $10,500 for a lift that can carry a person up 20 stairs with a landing and turn at the middle of the rise. The cost includes equipment and labor.

Recoup rate: 10% to 20%, says Marissa Garone-Blatz, a real-estate agent and mortgage lender in Jupiter, Fla. She adds that sellers may be competing with housing complexes built specifically for special-needs buyers.

How much longer your home will stay on the market: As long as four months, Garone-Blatz says, because of removal costs. Buyers who use wheelchairs are apt to focus their search on one-story homes that comply with the Americans With Disabilities Act.

Steam shower

Cost: In our ultrasweet, fantasy bathroom, we envision eight to 10 shower heads, several towel warmers, a waterproof television and the sumptuously soggy centerpiece: a sit-down steam shower. These upgrades would lighten your bank account by at least $20,000, says Chantay Bridges, senior real-estate specialist at Clear Choice Realty & Associates in Beverly Hills, Calif. The steam shower alone could run anywhere between $2,000 and $15,000.

Recoup rate: $5,000 or more, Bridges says.

How much longer your home will stay on the market: Several months, Bridges says.

Your sole heating source: A wood-burning stove

Cost: Installing a wood stove to heat a two- to three-bedroom home will set you back about $3,600, says Angie Hicks, co-founder of the service-review website Angie’s List. If you are considering mothballing a traditional furnace for this cheaper form of warmth, be sure to check your local building codes and air-pollution laws, because some areas ban wood burning at times.

Recoup rate: Zero, Hicks says. “Wood stoves are like swimming pools,” she says. “Some people love them, (and) some don’t want the fuss, work, cost of wood, mess and liability.”

How much longer your home will stay on the market: This woodsy feature could cause your house to “stall” on the market for a year or more, Hicks says. Some people love the crackle, glow and aroma of wood embers. But “even homeowners who like the feature will likely want a backup source of heat,” she says.

Extreme home office

Cost: The price for an upscale work space can rise rapidly, depending on its size and the materials you select. For a memorably opulent office, think in the neighborhood of $20,000, Hicks says. This would include custom lighting, built-in cabinets, special molding, paneling, granite counters and high-tech gadgets such as flat-screen TVs and an entertainment system.

Recoup rate: 57%, Hicks says.

How much longer your home will stay on the market: Depending on the market, this addition could cause a home to sit for six to 12 months longer compared with a similar home without a swanky office, Hicks says. If you make it impossible for the room to be converted back to a bedroom, this could hurt your resale value.

Car collector’s garage

Cost: If you can afford to collect a bevy of vintage cars, the price of your own showroom or oversized garage may not be an issue. But expect to pump out about $50,000 for this addition, Hicks says.

Recoup rate: 25% to 40%, Hicks says. If you live in a well-heeled neighborhood where a few homeowners already have car-collector garages, the return on your investment will edge higher because prospective buyers may choose your area specifically for this specialty feature.

How much longer your home will stay on the market: 12 more months to find a buyer who is seeking a mega-garage, Hicks says.

Highly personalized hobby room

Cost: Crafters may dedicate a certain nook to their favorite pursuit, be it beer-making, sewing or painting. But when this hobby requires converting a bedroom into a room that’s hard to change back, it can be costly. For example, converting an existing 8-by-10-foot room into a potter’s dream — complete with a pottery wheel and kiln — would run $4,000 to $6,000, says Mel El-Farouki, who operates Mel’s Pot Shop in Erie, Pa.

Recoup rate: Any homeowner who installs a pottery room will see “very little” of that investment back, says Wendy Slaughter, president and owner of the Wendy SlaughterTeam at Re/Max Advantage Realty in Fulton, Md. “It could negatively impact the sales price,” she says.

How much longer your home will stay on the market: Several months, Slaughter says. But if you have a pottery room, marketing your home through pottery stores or offering free pottery lessons could entice prospective buyers.

Home theater

Cost: Hankering for some Hollywood at home? Be prepared to pay “upwards of $9,000″ for this type of glitzy space, Glubis says. That’s assuming your flick-watching room includes special speakers, lighting, seating adequate for a small group and a large viewing screen. You could pay more if you add velvet curtains, a large popcorn machine and top-notch acoustics.

Recoup rate: 50%, Glubis says, but only “if you were budget-conscious while installing it.”

How much longer your home will stay on the market: Typically, a fancy media room isn’t a deal-breaker, Glubis says, but it may set the price of an otherwise-average home over some buyers’ budgets.

Barn or stable

Cost: The price for an animal-only structure depends on the depth of your love for critters and how many you have. In South Florida, for example — where properties can have horses as well as donkeys, cows, peacocks and more — homeowners spend anywhere from $45 per square foot to several hundred dollars per square foot on barns and stables, Garone-Blatz says. Prices increase when homeowners choose “high-end dĂ©cor materials compatible to that of their residence,” she says.

Recoup rate: Even in equestrian communities, homeowners who erect barns should expect 50% to 67% return on their investment, Garone-Blatz says.

How much longer your home will stay on the market: In nonfarming, nonequestrian locales, barns can stick out in a negative way. Time on the market might be prolonged until the seller finds a buyer who wants to house livestock.

Urinal

Cost: $150 for a basic version and $1,000 for a fancy urinal, Garone-Blatz says.

“We once had a listing (in which) the man of the house was very proud of his urinal in the master bathroom,” she says. “I have to say, quite a few other men thought it was an upgrade, but most of the women did not find it too appealing.” Labor for installation would run a few hundred dollars.

Recoup rate: Zero to 20%, Garone-Blatz says. It can have a negative effect if your home has no toilet near the master bedroom.

How much longer your home will stay on the market: In the aforementioned scenario, it delayed the property’s sale a month or two, Garone-Blatz says. “Many women thought it was just another fixture to have cleaned.” she says. “On the flip side, many men thought it was a great, convenient idea and something neat to show off to their buddies.”

 

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Monday, January 2nd, 2012

 

Here’s a look at price trends and how they differ between distressed and nondistressed homes.

By Nick Timiraos of The Wall Street Journal

Home prices are falling again, but some analysts see a silver lining because the prices of homes that aren’t selling out of foreclosure have been holding steady.

CoreLogic reported that home prices in October declined by 1.3% from September and by 3.9% from a year before. A separate index released in early December by LPS Applied Analytics showed that home prices in September had dropped by 1.2% from August

“Many housing statistics are basically moving sideways,” said Mark Fleming, chief economist at CoreLogic.

Still, the CoreLogic index shows an important emerging trend in which home prices — excluding distressed sales — are stabilizing.

What’s the difference between distressed sales and nondistressed sales?
Unlike traditional owners, banks are often faster to cut prices in order to unload properties quickly — or what are called “distressed” sales. The upshot: The more homes being sold by lenders in any given month, the faster prices tend to fall.

This was clear throughout the initial years of the housing bust. Prices declined most sharply in 2008 as banks dumped foreclosed properties at fire-sale prices. Owner-occupants are less likely to list their homes for sale in winter, too, which means that each winter prices drop because distressed sales account for a growing share of sales.

Are prices of distressed homes falling at the same rate as nondistressed homes?
That’s been the case up until recently. While home prices overall were down 3.9% from one year ago, prices excluding distressed sales were down just 0.5%. In September, total prices were down 3.8% from one year ago, but nondistressed prices were down 2.1%.

This shows that while price declines are resuming, they are not yet falling from one year ago for nondistressed homes. In fact, during the first nine months of 2011, prices of nondistressed homes remained relatively stable, with year-over-year declines between 2% and 3%.

Analysts at Barclays Capital, in a report published in early December, called this “the most important trend in the housing industry right now.”

Why would any stabilization of nondistressed prices matter?
If it’s true that prices of nondistressed homes are stabilizing, even as distressed homes continue to fall in price, it would mean that a distressed home is “increasingly being seen as a poor substitute for a nondistressed home,” writes Stephen Kim, a Barclays housing analyst. He says it’s possible that the “bifurcation between distressed and nondistressed homes will only widen with the passage of time.”

Won’t the overhang of foreclosures put pressure on nondistressed prices anyway?
That’s all too possible. More than 2 million loans are in some stage of foreclosure, and it may be too early to argue that those won’t in some way affect the sale prices of nondistressed homes. For one, homes that sell out of foreclosure at significantly lower prices could be used by appraisers as “comparable” sales, which may make banks less willing to lend at an agreed sale price for a nondistressed home.

In certain markets where many homes are selling out of foreclosure, it’s hard to simply set aside distressed homes. “You can’t deny the fact that if half of homes that sold in San Diego in a given year were distressed, that is the trend,” said Kyle Lundstedt, managing director at LPS.

What could happen if this trend holds up, with distressed prices falling and nondistressed prices staying flat?
It could stabilize something else: homebuyer confidence. “There is nothing that strikes fear in a homeowner’s heart than to hear that his home value has declined,” Kim writes. “But if it was home-price trends that got us into this funk, it stands to reason that a recovery in sentiment will be similarly ushered in once price declines have abated — which is precisely what the CoreLogic price data shows us.”

 

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